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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 41.7%
Draw 29.9%
Independiente 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.3%
29.6%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
29.4%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 8th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
Defensa y Justicia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
Defensa y Justicia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Independiente has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Defensa y Justicia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Defensa y Justicia has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:14 (averaging 0.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensa y Justicia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.4:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.