The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 34%
Draw 31.8%
Independiente 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
30.7%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
30.9%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.7%
54.5%
22.7%
Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Independiente will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Fiermarin C. (G) 4. Tripichio N. (C) 28. Aguilera E. 21. Ramos S. 14. Cannavo E. 5. Gutierrez K. 30. Lopez K. 26. Caceres D. 33. Palavecino N. 9. Godoy L. 10. Bogarin R.
33. Rey R. (C) 35. Salle S. 29. Fedorco J. 2. Laso J. 15. Perez D. 21. Martinez D. 11. Mancuello F. 24. Lopez S. 14. Millan L. 27. Tarzia D. 9. Avalos G.
Substitutes
18. Blandi N. 23. Bologna E. (G) 20. Calderon E. 36. Echevarria F. 27. Herrera L. 13. Lucero S. 16. Molinas A. 35. Schamine B. 31. Serrago T. 32. Sosa M. 42. Valenzuela A. 7. Zapata Y.
32. Canelo A. 31. Da Rosa F. 38. Duarte E. 6. Elizalde E. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Luna A. 18. Maestro I. 30. Parmo T. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 22. Ruiz J. 25. Segovia D. (G) 3. Sporle A.
Coaches
Meneghini F.
Tocalli H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Tarzia D. 🟨,
40', Avalos G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Godoy L. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
52', Fedorco J. 🟨,
54', Perez D. 🟨,
55', Palavecino N. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
55', Tarzia D. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
55', Millan L. ↓, Luna A. ↑,
57', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
64', Molinas A. 🟨,
71', Bogarin R. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
79', Lopez S. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
81', Caceres D. 🟨,
86', Aguilera E. 🟨,
88', Martinez D. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
90+2', Gabriel Neves 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 25 and 21).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 2.
Defensa y Justicia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Independiente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Barbona D.
(Injury)
Togni G.
(Injury)
There will not play in Independiente: Gimenez M.
(Injury)
Marcone I.
(Injury)
Segovia D.
(Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.
Watch
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Fiermarin C. (G) 
Tripichio N. (C) 
Caceres D. 
Zapata Y. 
Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 
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