The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Banfield 2 46.8%
Draw 30.6%
Sarmiento de Junín 2 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
30.5%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
24.3%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Banfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield 2 than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Banfield 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Banfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Banfield 2 will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
Recent performances by Banfield 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sarmiento 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Banfield 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Banfield 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Banfield 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Sarmiento de Junín 2 - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.27%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.