Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		San Lorenzo 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.22	3.3	2.2
	3.23	3.05	2.22	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.15
	3.19	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.1 ↓ (3.22)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
28.6%

Draw
29.4%

San Lorenzo 2
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

San Lorenzo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sarmiento 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Lorenzo 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	4:0 ✺
28.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - River Plate 2	2:3 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Racing Club 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Instituto 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWTT
- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.05.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:2 ✺
30.04.26	Aldosivi 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:3 ✺
23.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Unión Santa Fe 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
28.10.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	5:2
29.05.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:2
19.10.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	6:0
17.02.23	San Lorenzo 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0
18.10.22	San Lorenzo 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0
10.04.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2

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