Match Info

A Lyga - Round 32

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT TV


	Sūduva Marijampolė		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.25	6.9	Watch
	1.38	4.51	7.47
	1.40	4.55	7.04	Watch
	1.36	4.3	7.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	4.4 ↓ (4.55)	7.27 ↑ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
66.6%

Draw
20.8%

Dainava Alytus
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.4%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.7%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Sūduva Marijampolė - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sūduva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sūduva Marijampolė will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 4. Uzochukwu H. 29. Beneta M. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 14. Tangiri F. 8. Lawson S. 70. Haidara A. 7. Sabo A. 94. Sanokho S. M. 28. Petkevicius N.	77. Mickevicius A. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 24. Paliusis N. 3. Maksymenko M. 29. Zabita G. (C) 5. Chikovani N. 4. Oostenbrink K. 15. DeZart J. 26. Reginaldo 7. Baftalovskyi A. 11. Lubas J.
Substitutes
9. Lucky T. 17. Luksys N. 11. Momoh I. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 87. Pudzemys D. 6. Sakurai K. 46. Skamarakas I. 88. Stankevicius D. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 21. Zingertas L.	8. Achol M. 6. Banevicius R. 2. Daniel Alemao 9. Dhouib W. 95. Dudik A. 13. Faye C. 23. Koshkosh I. 1. Krynskyi V. (G) 10. Pavlovski M. 21. Sukhotskyi A. 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Orazov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Zivanovic A. 🟨,
37', Stockunas E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', Zabita G. 🟨,
56', Reginaldo ↓, Achol M. ↑,
56', Zabita G. ↓, Dhouib W. ↑,
63', Petkevicius N. ↓, Stankevicius D. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Haidara A. ⚽,
69', Mickevicius A. ↓, Krynskyi V. ↑,
71', DeZart J. ↓, Pavlovski M. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Uzochukwu H. ⚽,
83', Maksymenko M. ↓, Dudik A. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Dhouib W. ⚽,
86', Tangiri F. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
90+2', Haidara A. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
90+2', Sanokho S. M. ↓, Luksys N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2.

Sūduva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dainava has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sūduva has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sūduva is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:10. (average 2.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
18.10.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Žalgiris	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLTW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
18.10.25	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
01.10.25	Panevėžys - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Dainava Alytus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.08.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2
16.05.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:3
04.04.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Dainava Alytus	1:0
20.09.24	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	Suduva awarded
07.07.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Dainava Alytus	0:0
17.05.24	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:1
31.03.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Dainava Alytus	0:1

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