Match Info

A Lyga - Round 33

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Alytus Stadium (Dainava)

Referee: Jackus M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT TV


	Dainava Alytus		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.8	1.52
	6.22	4.29	1.46
	6.87	5.07	1.36	Watch
	5.36	3.8	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↓ (6.87)	4.24 ↓ (5.07)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
15.6%

Draw
21.7%

Hegelmann Litauen
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

18.3%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

16.4%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hegelmann Litauen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hegelmann (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krynskyi V. (G) 29. Zabita G. (C) 75. Stockunas E. 3. Maksymenko M. 24. Paliusis N. 4. Oostenbrink K. 23. Koshkosh I. 8. Achol M. 17. Zevzikovas D. 9. Dhouib W. 7. Baftalovskyi A.	1. Sarkauskas V. (G) 9. Upstas K. (C) 6. Armalas V. 30. Isaac B. 26. Slendzoka D. 7. Duke C. 10. Popescu P. 17. Harouna A. 18. Remeikis M. 39. Kazlauskas D. 14. Yusuf R.
Substitutes
6. Banevicius R. 5. Chikovani N. 2. Daniel Alemao 15. DeZart J. 95. Dudik A. 13. Faye C. 11. Lubas J. 77. Mickevicius A. (G) 10. Pavlovski M. 26. Reginaldo 21. Sukhotskyi A. 33. Zahladko V.	5. Antanavicius D. 27. Azouazi Y. 13. Bouteba M. R. 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 4. Djoric N. 77. Freire W. 21. Kausinis E. 25. Keliauskas K. 15. Leo Ribeiro 11. Njoya A. 19. Pasilys D. 98. Pastukas J.
Coaches
Orazov M.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Duke C. ⚽,
45', Maksymenko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Koshkosh I. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Kazlauskas D. ⚽,
61', Maksymenko M. ↓, DeZart J. ↑,
63', Slendzoka D. ↓, Djoric N. ↑,
72', Yusuf R. 🟨,
73', Achol M. ↓, Dudik A. ↑,
73', Remeikis M. ↓, Antanavicius D. ↑,
73', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
80', Popescu P. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
80', Harouna A. ↓, Freire W. ↑,
87', Zabita G. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,
87', Dhouib W. ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
87', Koshkosh I. ↓, Pavlovski M. ↑,
89', Stockunas E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 2.

Dainava has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hegelmann has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hegelmann is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.10.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Dainava Alytus	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
01.10.25	Panevėžys - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLLL
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Džiugas Telšiai	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Riteriai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
01.10.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
28.09.25	Panevėžys - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
10.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	0:1
14.06.25	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	2:2
12.04.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	3:2
25.10.24	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	1:2
03.08.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1
31.05.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.24	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	0:2

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