Match Info

League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Chalerm Phrakiat Bang Mod Stadium (Bangkok)


	Bangkok FC		Muangthong United

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.49	2.21	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.73	3.54	2.21
	2.8	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.2)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangkok FC
32.2%

Draw
26%

Muangthong United
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

24.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

23.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangkok FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangkok FC's form might have worsened.

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muangthong United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangkok FC than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangkok FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muangthong United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bangkok FC - Muangthong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ahannach A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Ahannach A. ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, Tasa K. ⚽,
88', 0 - 4, Khamyok K. ⚽,

Preview

Bangkok has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Muangthong United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangkok FC
Thai League 2
20.12.25	Bangkok FC - Songkhla	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Bangkok FC - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Nakhon Si United - Bangkok FC	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Police Tero - Bangkok FC	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Bangkok FC - Chanthaburi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWLL
- Muangthong United
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
14.12.25	Pathum United - Muangthong United	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Muangthong United - Chonburi	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Chiangrai United - Muangthong United	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Muangthong United - Buriram United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL

Bangkok FC - Muangthong United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide