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Current Win Probability
Muangthong United 19%
Draw 22.9%
Buriram United 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
22.7%
57.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.6%
21.6%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Muangthong United - Buriram United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Buriram (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gremsl A. (G) 19. Do T. (C) 29. Kraikruan S. 14. Panthong S. 5. Orji N. 6. Strauss J. 34. Khamyok K. 22. Nuntagowat T. 24. Ahannach A. 11. Roback E. 18. Dunnwald-Turan K.
13. Etheridge N. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 16. Dougall K. 3. Hemviboon P. 15. Weerawatnodom N. (C) 23. Causic G. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 2. Haiprakon S. 32. Zulj R. 10. Mueanta S. 7. Bissoli
Substitutes
13. Falconer J. P. 26. Kadee K. (G) 9. Lorenzen M. 23. Phosri S. 33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 15. Sattham J. 39. Seangsawat K. 8. Tasa K. 17. Thodsanid P. 4. Tsonkov S. 40. Wettayawong K.
4. Bauer R. 34. Bootprom C. (G) 5. Bunmathan T. 11. Charoenrattanapirom P. 33. Chotmuangpak T. 75. Lee-Oh S. 8. Maikami R. 92. Paibulkijcharoen T. 18. Stephen Berg A. 14. Walsh S. 44. Zulj P.
Coaches
Boonmoh U.
Jackson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Zulj R. ⚽, Weerawatnodom N. (A),
32', Dunnwald-Turan K. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Bissoli ⚽, Mueanta S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Roback E. ↓, Lorenzen M. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Zulj R. ⚽, Haiprakon S. (A),
53', 0 - 4, Zulj R. ⚽,
57', Gremsl A. ↓, Pipatnadda K. ↑,
57', Kraikruan S. ↓, Tsonkov S. ↑,
65', Zulj R. ↓, Zulj P. ↑,
73', Ko Myeong-Seok ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
73', Mueanta S. ↓, Charoenrattanapirom P. ↑,
75', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
75', Panthong S. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,
83', 0 - 5, Bissoli ⚽, Weerawatnodom N. (A),
85', Orji N. 🟨,
85', Bissoli 🟨,
85', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Phosri S. ↑,
86', Causic G. ↓, Maikami R. ↑,
87', Bissoli ↓, Chotmuangpak T. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 1.
Muangthong United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Buriram has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Buriram is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.6:2.2).
Thailand
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Gremsl A. (G) 
Do T. (C) 
Orji N. 
Strauss J. 
Ahannach A. 
Roback E. 
Dunnwald-Turan K. 
Ko Myeong-Seok 
Dougall K. 
Causic G. 
Bissoli 
Lorenzen M. 
Tsonkov S. 
Walsh S. 
Jackson M. 
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