The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Muangthong United 37.7%
Draw 27%
Lamphun Warriors 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
26.5%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
26%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muangthong United's form might have worsened.
Lamphun Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lamphun Warriors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamphun Warriors than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 28. Kim Dong-Su 35. Chansri T. 6. Strauss J. 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 22. Nuntagowat T. 23. Phosri S. 8. Tasa K. 14. Panthong S. 7. Willian Popp (C) 34. Khamyok K.
20. Muangngam N. (G) 7. Schad D. 23. Clough C. 2. Moonwong W. 27. Noiwilai N. 32. Tapla B. 17. Ralph 11. Yodsangwal A. 8. Pumwisat A. (C) 18. Mlapa P. 29. Willen Mota
Substitutes
24. Ahannach A. 30. Anulun N. 16. Chaikultewin W. 18. Danuphon B. 1. Gremsl A. (G) 27. Kempter M. 29. Kraikruan S. 31. Sanphiphan K. (G) 45. Saric M. 39. Seangsawat K. 17. Thodsanid P. 21. Thodsanit P.
89. Churok T. 22. Cissokho A. 55. Kekkonen O. 24. Kerdkaew N. 19. Khotrsupho T. 15. Navanich T. 26. Suklom K. (G) 25. Suriyachai S.
Coaches
Ivankovic M.
Amato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Panthong S. 🟨,
40', Schad D. 🟨,
42', Khamyok K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Willian Popp 🟨,
55', Tapla B. 🟨,
56', Nuntagowat T. ↓, Saric M. ↑,
66', Moonwong W. ↓, Khotrsupho T. ↑,
66', Mlapa P. ↓, Cissokho A. ↑,
66', Tapla B. ↓, Kekkonen O. ↑,
67', Khotrsupho T. 🟨,
74', Tasa K. ↓, Ahannach A. ↑,
76', Ralph 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Saric M. ⚽, Strauss J. (A),
85', Noiwilai N. ↓, Suriyachai S. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Yodsangwal A. ⚽, Khotrsupho T. (A),
90+2', Yodsangwal A. ↓, Churok T. ↑,
90+2', Khamyok K. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3.
Muangthong United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lamphun Warriors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Muangthong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Lamphun Warriors will win today's game, with odds of 2.75.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).