Match Info

BFL - Round 15

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium (Mymensingh)


	Bangladesh Police		PWD SC

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.95	5.35	Watch
	1.47	3.9	5.78
	1.5	4.05	5.78	Watch
	1.57	3.89	5.37
	1.53	3.6	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	5.51 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangladesh Police
60.1%

Draw
23.4%

PWD SC
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

23.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangladesh Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

PWD SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangladesh Police than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bangladesh Police that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PWD SC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Bangladesh Police - PWD SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Bhuiyan A. (G) 2. Hossen I. 77. Kumar Roy J. 33. Rahman A. 6. Darboe F. 7. Bablu M. 14. Mollah M. (C) 8. Kagimu S. 11. Rabbi Hossen Rahul M. 9. Paulo Henrique 19. Ghalan A.	1. Jahan S. (G) 4. Das S. (C) 42. Riduan I. 92. Jonathan Santana 13. Ratul M. 17. Uzair A. 10. Abdullah M. 15. Uddin J. 6. Abdullah M. 50. Acquah K. 99. Tareck Marat D.
Substitutes
15. Ahmed S. 28. Amirul Islam M. 71. Danilo Quipapa 44. Dorji S. 17. Faysal I. 70. Jaman A. 18. Moin M. I. 34. Nirob S. 36. Rahman S. (G) 29. Sakib A. 97. Sanowar Hossain M. 1. Tushar R. (G)	22. Ahamed A. (G) 44. Dukhu Mia R. I. 12. Hasibul Hasan S. 41. Islam M. I. 23. Islam R. 27. Kofi D. 28. Rahul Hossain M. (G) 16. Rana T. 21. Sayed A. 11. Shadin M. 14. Sharif M. 36. Sheikh Mahin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Jonathan Santana 🟨,
45+1', Tareck Marat D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rahman A. ↓, Faysal I. ↑,
46', Ghalan A. ↓, Moin M. I. ↑,
57', Mollah M. ↓, Amirul Islam M. ↑,
57', Paulo Henrique ↓, Danilo Quipapa ↑,
61', Jonathan Santana 🟨,
62', 🟨,
65', Faysal I. 🟨,
66', Uddin J. ↓, Kofi D. ↑,
77', Uzair A. 🟨,
80', Kumar Roy J. ↓, Sanowar Hossain M. ↑,
84', Tareck Marat D. ↓, Islam M. I. ↑,
84', Abdullah M. ↓, Shadin M. ↑,
84', Abdullah M. ↓, Sharif M. ↑,
89', Uzair A. ↓, Dukhu Mia R. I. ↑,
90+10', 1 - 0, Danilo Quipapa ⚽, Moin M. I. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bangladesh Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bangladesh Police has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bangladesh Police is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bangladesh Police won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Bangladesh Police won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bangladesh Police	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
8	PWD Sports Club	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangladesh Police FC
Bangladesh Federation Cup
21.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Bashundhara Kings	1:4 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
17.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Abahani Limited	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Bangladesh Police - Fortis	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
13.03.26	Mohammedan - Bangladesh Police	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT
- PWD Sports Club
Bangladesh Federation Cup
28.04.26	Abahani Limited - PWD SC	0:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
25.04.26	PWD SC - Mohammedan	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Brothers Union - PWD SC	1:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
14.04.26	PWD SC - Rahmatganj	0:2 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
10.04.26	PWD SC - Rahmatganj	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
13.12.25	PWD SC - Bangladesh Police	0:0

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