Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 4

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Bangor 1876		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	3.75
	1.68	3.87	3.71
	1.69	4.11	3.96	Watch
	1.68	3.98	4
	1.72	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.93)	3.99 ↓ (4.6)	3.83 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor 1876
53.5%

Draw
22.8%

Guilsfield
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

19.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

19.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor 1876 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bangor 1876's performance.

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guilsfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guilsfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bangor 1876 - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Hyne J. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Matthews I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Blackwell-Jones M. ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Haycock J. ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, Parrish S. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor 1876
Welsh Cymru North
09.08.24	Prestatyn Town - Bangor 1876	4:1 ✺
06.08.24	Bangor 1876 - Mold Alexandra	3:0 ✺
26.07.24	Colwyn Bay - Bangor 1876	0:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.07.24	Ruthin Town - Bangor 1876	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Bangor 1876 - Menai Bridge Tigers	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLW
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
10.08.24	Guilsfield - Airbus UK Broughton	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Llandudno - Guilsfield	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
27.07.24	Guilsfield - Caersws	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.24	Newtown - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
06.04.24	Guilsfield - Bangor 1876	1:2
16.12.23	Bangor 1876 - Guilsfield	2:1

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