Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 27

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Guilsfield		Porthmadog

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.22	3.9
	1.61	4.22	3.9
	1.64	4.2	4.12
	1.65	4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	4.16 ↓ (4.28)	3.96 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guilsfield
55.5%

Draw
21.7%

Porthmadog
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

21.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

20.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Porthmadog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Guilsfield is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Porthmadog is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porthmadog could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guilsfield is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guilsfield won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Guilsfield won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
08.03.24	Llanidloes Town - Guilsfield	1:4 ✺
02.03.24	Guilsfield - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
27.02.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:2 ✺
24.02.24	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLTL
- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
09.03.24	Porthmadog - Buckley Town	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Porthmadog - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Caersws - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Porthmadog - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
19.08.23	Porthmadog - Guilsfield	0:1
06.12.22	Guilsfield - Porthmadog	4:0
20.11.19	Guilsfield - Porthmadog	2:0

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