Match Info

Cymru North - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Penrhyncoch		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.75	1.92
	3.16	3.88	1.95
	9.38	4.55	1.34	Watch
	3.09	3.84	1.94
	3.3	4	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.3)	4 (4)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
22%

Draw
24.1%

Guilsfield
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

22.7%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

21.1%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penrhyncoch's form might have worsened.

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guilsfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Knott A. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Davies Z. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Knott A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 2, Davies R. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Bromley C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Guilsfield might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Airbus UK Broughton	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Newtown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Guilsfield - Airbus UK Broughton	1:4 ✺
25.08.25	Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Guilsfield - Rhyl	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.12.24	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	4:2
14.12.24	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	1:1
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	0:3
Welsh Cymru North
18.01.23	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	1:2
19.11.22	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	4:1
05.03.22	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	3:0
18.09.21	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	2:2

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