Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Bangor 1876		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.9	2.12
	2.74	3.75	2.11
	2.84	3.94	2.18	Watch
	2.76	3.82	2.11
	2.7	3.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.66)	3.86 ↓ (3.99)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangor 1876
33.3%

Draw
23.7%

Holywell Town
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

22.8%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

22.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangor 1876 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Holywell Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Bangor 1876 - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, McGonigle C. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, McGonigle C. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Breese J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 2 - 2, Breese J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Holywell Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Holywell Town have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bangor 1876 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bangor 1876 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangor 1876
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Caersws - Bangor 1876	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
08.11.24	Bangor 1876 - Ruthin Town	3:0 ✺
01.11.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Bangor 1876	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Caersws - Bangor 1876	0:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Bangor 1876 - Llay Welfare	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
09.11.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Holywell Town - Ruthin Town	5:1 ✺
25.10.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	8:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Holywell Town - Ruthin Town	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
12.10.24	Holywell Town - Flint Mountain	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
07.09.24	Holywell Town - Bangor 1876	2:1
20.01.24	Holywell Town - Bangor 1876	2:1
06.10.23	Bangor 1876 - Holywell Town	1:4

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