Match Info

Cymru North - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Holywell Town		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.8
	1.71	3.66	4.34
	1.72	3.81	4.31	Watch
	1.75	3.75	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.6)	3.68 ↓ (5.13)	4.07 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
52.6%

Draw
24.9%

Guilsfield
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

17.7%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

16.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Guilsfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holywell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guilsfield than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Holywell Town - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ap Gareth I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Smallwood J. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Murtas F. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ap Gareth I. ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, Murtas F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 4.

Holywell Town has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guilsfield has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Holywell Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guilsfield has had a series of home games.

In this match, Holywell Town is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Holywell Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Holywell Town won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 3.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Flint Town United - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.25	Holywell Town - Flint Mountain	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Holywell Town - Bangor 1876	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Holywell Town - Prestatyn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWT
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
09.08.25	Guilsfield - Rhyl	2:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Guilsfield - Bala Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.25	Gresford Athletic - Guilsfield	1:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Guilsfield - Mold Alexandra	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Guilsfield - Aberystwyth Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
29.03.25	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	2:1
09.11.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	2:1
13.04.24	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	0:2
27.02.24	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:2
11.02.23	Holywell Town - Guilsfield	4:0
Welsh FA Cup
14.01.23	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	1:2
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.22	Guilsfield - Holywell Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches