Match Info

Date: 17 October 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bangu		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.1
	3.2	3.45	2
	3.25	3.4	1.98
	3.32	3.56	2.02
	3.35	3.38	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.63)	3.41 ↑ (3.24)	2.03 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
28.1%

Draw
26.8%

Ferroviária
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.8%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

22.3%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bangu's form might have worsened.

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviária's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bangu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviária, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Bangu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bangu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferroviária will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Serie D
11.10.20	Nacional PR - Bangu	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:2 ✺
30.09.20	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	0:2 ✺
26.09.20	Bangu - FC Cascavel	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Mirassol - Bangu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWWT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
14.10.20	Ferroviária - Cabofriense	3:1 ✺
11.10.20	Mirassol - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Deportivo Toledo - Ferroviária	2:6 ✺
30.09.20	Ferroviária - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Ferroviária - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWTT

Bangu - Ferroviária

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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