Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - ROUND 7

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)


	Mirassol		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.75	5.5
	1.61	3.4	5.6
	1.62	3.59	6.19
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.58	3.58	6.15	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.98)	3.55 ↑ (2.92)	5.68 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
57.9%

Draw
25.9%

Ferroviária
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol's performance.

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Mirassol - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1.

Recent matches Mirassol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferroviária has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferroviária could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.23	São Bento - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
01.02.23	Mirassol - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
26.01.23	Mirassol - São Bernardo	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
17.01.23	Mirassol - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWTL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.23	Ferroviária - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Santos - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ferroviária - Santo André	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Ferroviária - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.03.22	Ferroviária - Mirassol	2:0
03.05.21	Mirassol - Ferroviária	1:3
Brazilian Serie D
02.11.20	Ferroviária - Mirassol	1:0
11.10.20	Mirassol - Ferroviária	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.01.20	Ferroviária - Mirassol	1:1
02.03.18	Ferroviária - Mirassol	2:2
11.02.17	Ferroviária - Mirassol	1:3

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