Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 2

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Moça Bonita (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Bangu		Madureira

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.58
	2.98	2.84	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.5
	2.8	2.77	2.55
	3	2.9	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.03)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
31.7%

Draw
32.7%

Madureira
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

32.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bangu - Madureira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bruno (G) 2. Dudu 3. Gilberto 4. Patrick 6. Bruno Boca 5. Italo 8. Mauro (C) 11. Lucas Sibito 10. Walber 7. Garrinsha 9. Patryck	12. Neguete (G) 22. Celsinho 3. Marcao 4. Jean 6. Matheus Juliao 19. Rodrigo Lindoso (C) 8. Wallace Camilo 11. Vinicius Balotelli 10. Juninho 7. Filipe Claudino 9. Geovane Maranhao
Substitutes
13. Caio Felipe 1. Diego (G) 21. Douglas Lima 12. Gabriel Barboza (G) 14. Kadu 17. Luizinho 19. Matheus Batista 22. Paulo Vitor 20. Pedoca 15. Pedro China 16. Ricardo Sena 18. Welington Zaru	5. Adriano 2. Caua Coutinho 13. Daniel Felipe 21. Everton 14. Fuba 18. Hericles 23. Isaias 15. Jaco 16. Julio Cesar 20. Ricardo Oliveira 17. Wendel Lessa 31. Yan (G)
Coaches
Tinoco	Felipe Surian

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Garrinsha 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucas Sibito ↓, Douglas Lima ↑,
46', Vinicius Balotelli ↓, Filipe Claudino ↑,
55', Bruno Boca ↓, Ricardo Sena ↑,
55', Dudu ↓, Caio Felipe ↑,
57', Jaco ↓, Isaias ↑,
65', Celsinho ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
72', Italo ↓, Pedoca ↑,
73', Matheus Juliao 🟨,
75', Juninho ↓, Everton ↑,
75', Geovane Maranhao ↓, Ricardo Oliveira ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Filipe Claudino ⚽,
78', Mauro ↓, Welington Zaru ↑,
82', Walber 🟨,
85', Isaias 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 3.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangu won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.26	Bangu - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.08.25	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	1:0 penalties ✺
27.08.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Bangu - Campo Grande	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
17.08.25	São Gonçalo - Bangu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WLTWW
- Madureira EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.26	Fluminense - Madureira	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
27.08.25	Madureira - Maricá	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Maricá - Madureira	4:0 ✺
13.08.25	Madureira - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Duque de Caxias - Madureira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.25	Bangu - Madureira	0:3
25.02.24	Bangu - Madureira	2:1
05.02.23	Bangu - Madureira	1:0
09.02.22	Bangu - Madureira	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
08.08.21	Bangu - Madureira	3:1
04.07.21	Madureira - Bangu	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.03.21	Madureira - Bangu	1:0

Bangu - Madureira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide