Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 1

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Bangu		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.3
	2.17	3.40	3.12	Watch
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.13	2.91	2.28
	3.25	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (9.68)	3.07 ↓ (4.57)	2.45 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangu
31.7%

Draw
30.3%

Flamengo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

20.3%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bangu's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	19%	14.3%

Bangu - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bangu will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bangu: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bangu (6.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bangu will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bangu (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Flamengo (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 0.

Flamengo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Flamengo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bangu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 6:37. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bangu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:21. (average 0.2:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangu AC
Brazilian Copa Rio
30.08.25	Portuguesa RJ - Bangu	1:0 penalties ✺
27.08.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Bangu - Campo Grande	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
17.08.25	São Gonçalo - Bangu	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Bangu - São Gonçalo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWWW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.01.26	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
17.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Flamengo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Flamengo - Pyramids	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Cruz Azul - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.25	Mirassol - Flamengo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.01.25	Bangu - Flamengo	0:5
15.02.24	Bangu - Flamengo	0:3
24.01.23	Bangu - Flamengo	1:1
12.03.22	Bangu - Flamengo	0:6
31.03.21	Flamengo - Bangu	3:0
18.06.20	Bangu - Flamengo	0:3
20.01.19	Flamengo - Bangu	2:1

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