Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 1

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV


	Fluminense		Madureira

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.95	6.3
	1.55	3.89	5.93
	1.44	3.7	6.5
	1.46	4.13	7.04
	1.44	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	3.93 ↑ (3.9)	6.85 ↑ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
62.8%

Draw
23.6%

Madureira
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Fluminense - Madureira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4.

Fluminense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:13. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 3.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Copa do Brasil
14.12.25	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 penalties ✺
11.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Fluminense - São Paulo	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Madureira EC
Brazilian Copa Rio
27.08.25	Madureira - Maricá	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Maricá - Madureira	4:0 ✺
13.08.25	Madureira - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Duque de Caxias - Madureira	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.01.25	Madureira - Fluminense	0:0
17.02.24	Madureira - Fluminense	0:1
22.01.23	Madureira - Fluminense	0:1
30.01.22	Madureira - Fluminense	0:1
25.04.21	Fluminense - Madureira	4:1
01.03.20	Fluminense - Madureira	5:1
30.01.19	Fluminense - Madureira	4:0

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