Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 22

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Baník Kalinovo		Vranov nad Topľou

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.55
	3.1	3.95	1.91
	3.04	4.02	1.96
	3.18	3.52	2
	3.1	3.95	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (4.85)	3.91 ↓ (4.3)	1.87 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Kalinovo
27.4%

Draw
23.5%

Vranov nad Topľou
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

21.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Kalinovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baník Kalinovo's performance.

Vranov nad Topľou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vranov nad Topľou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Kalinovo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baník Kalinovo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vranov nad Topľou than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vranov nad Topľou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baník Kalinovo - Vranov nad Topľou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. liga).

Baník Kalinovo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vranov nad Topľou is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baník Kalinovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vranov nad Topľou is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baník Kalinovo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:20 (average 0.6:4).

Including matches at home between the teams Baník Kalinovo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TJ Baník Kalinovo
Slovak 3 Liga East
05.04.25	Námestovo - Baník Kalinovo	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Baník Kalinovo - Slávia TU Košice	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Baník Kalinovo - Rimavská Sobota	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Partizán Bardejov - Baník Kalinovo	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Baník Kalinovo - Odeva Lipany	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTTL
- MFK Vranov nad Topľou
Slovak 3 Liga East
30.03.25	Snina - Vranov nad Topľou	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Lokomotíva Košice	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Námestovo - Vranov nad Topľou	2:3 ✺
09.03.25	Slávia TU Košice - Vranov nad Topľou	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Vranov nad Topľou - Partizán Bardejov	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga East
14.09.24	Vranov nad Topľou - Baník Kalinovo	4:1
01.06.24	Baník Kalinovo - Vranov nad Topľou	0:4
04.11.23	Vranov nad Topľou - Baník Kalinovo	3:1
21.05.23	Baník Kalinovo - Vranov nad Topľou	0:1
22.10.22	Vranov nad Topľou - Baník Kalinovo	8:1

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