The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Baranovichi 66.1%
Draw 23.4%
Minsk 2 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
28.6%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
27.1%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baranovichi's performance.
Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minsk 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baranovichi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minsk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baranovichi - Minsk 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perov D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 22. Atrashkevich S. 21. Baranovskiy T. 4. Karpenya V. 14. Kirko I. 8. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 19. Nekrashevich D. 29. Penchuk S. 3. Vasilenko V.
1. Sukharenko M. (G) 4. Borisenkov T. 35. Bulatsky G. 13. Denisenko D. 49. Drachev Z. 80. Ivanov I. 17. Kindruk E. 3. Malitskiy K. 23. Morozov D. (C) 7. Rodionov I. 6. Struk P.
Substitutes
11. Anikeev V. 20. Chernyak V. 9. Galuza D. 2. Kendysh S. 7. Kirkitskiy K. 93. Kopat I. 33. Litskevich M. 18. Lukyanov M. 12. Mikhey E. 80. Nakonechny D.
26. Bogdan A. 9. Bondarenko I. 20. Bondarenko M. 2. Dobishchuk V. 5. Garnastay A. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 22. Malyutin V. 60. Torosyan E. 47. Volkovets D. 15. Zholudov V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Nekrashevich D. ⚽, Lebedev F. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Bulatsky G. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Morozov D. ⚽, Drachev Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Kirko I. 🟨,
58', Ivanov I. ↓, Bondarenko M. ↑,
65', Litskevich M. 🟨,
82', Denisenko D. ↓, Dobishchuk V. ↑,
90', Artyukh M. 🟨,
90+4', Sukharenko M. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 11).
Baranovichi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Minsk 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Baranovichi is a strong favorite.
We predict that Baranovichi will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
The teams have not played against each other recently.