Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium FC Minsk (Minsk)


	Minsk 2		BATE 2

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.7	3.02
	2.45	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	2.71 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk 2
40.8%

Draw
25.6%

BATE 2
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

BATE 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BATE 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sukharenko M. (G) 11. Bondarenko M. 35. Bulatsky G. 13. Denisenko D. 2. Dobishchuk V. 49. Drachev Z. 14. Ganchuk V. 80. Ivanov I. 17. Kindruk E. 23. Morozov D. (C) 7. Rodionov I.	30. Skopets A. (G) 11. Grivenev E. 7. Kiselev V. (C) 13. Kisel V. 8. Kolosovskiy P. 22. Kuzmenok Y. 17. Sakhonchik A. 15. Shkondin A. 18. Shvedchikov A. 16. Svidinskiy M. 4. Vergeichik D.
Substitutes
26. Bogdan A. 9. Bondarenko I. 5. Garnastay A. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 78. Sitnikov R. 6. Struk P. 22. Torosyan E. 60. Volchok I. 47. Volkovets D. 15. Zholudov V.	10. Aliyev R. 6. Chuevskiy E. 14. Gavrilov M. 99. Klyakin M. (G) 23. Kuimov I. 44. Kulesh Y. 9. Mirskiy N. 21. Orlovskyi V. 5. Protasenya G. 19. Shumskiy Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Bondarenko M. ⚽, Kindruk E. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk 2 won 2.

Minsk 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

BATE 2 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Minsk 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minsk 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Minsk 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.09.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Minsk 2	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Minsk 2 - Belshina	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Slonim - Minsk 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WTTTW
- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
28.09.25	BATE 2 - Ostrovets	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Volna Pinsk - BATE 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	BATE 2 - Gomel 2	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Baranovichi - BATE 2	4:1 ✺
29.08.25	BATE 2 - Belarus U19	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Reserve
09.04.23	Minsk 2 - BATE 2	1:0
07.11.22	BATE 2 - Minsk 2	2:0
10.07.22	Minsk 2 - BATE 2	0:3
14.08.21	BATE 2 - Minsk 2	1:4
10.04.21	Minsk 2 - BATE 2	1:1
25.07.20	BATE 2 - Minsk 2	3:2
11.04.20	Minsk 2 - BATE 2	3:0

Minsk 2 - BATE 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide