Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 30

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Baranovichi)


	Baranovichi		Volna Pinsk

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5.74
	1.5	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.95 ↓ (4.1)	5.54 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichi
60.8%

Draw
22.9%

Volna Pinsk
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.4%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.1%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perov D. (G) 77. Artyukh M. 22. Atrashkevich S. 2. Kendysh S. 14. Kirko I. 8. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 19. Nekrashevich D. 30. Ryabykh N. 17. Shevchenko M. 3. Vasilenko V.	31. Letsko S. (G) 14. Baranov I. 77. Gitselev Z. 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 91. Matyash D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 22. Samuilik A. 21. Syrisko V. 18. Urbanovich V.
Substitutes
11. Anikeev V. 21. Baranovskiy T. 20. Chernyak V. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 9. Galuza D. 7. Kirkitskiy K. 33. Litskevich M. 18. Lukyanov M. 12. Mikhey E. 80. Nakonechny D.	16. Alabushev A. (G) 1. Asonov A. (G) 37. Baluk S. 6. Belous A. 8. Kovalev D. 7. Kovalevich K. 4. Kuradovets A. 20. Terletskiy R. 88. Tishurov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Artyukh M. ⚽, Ryabykh N. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baranovichi won 2.

Baranovichi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Volna Pinsk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baranovichi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baranovichi is the team to beat.

We predict that Baranovichi will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Baranovichi won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Baranovichi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.10.25	Gomel 2 - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Orsha - Baranovichi	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Baranovichi - Belarus U19	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Uni X Labs Minsk - Baranovichi	2:6 ✺
20.09.25	Baranovichi - Osipovichi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
18.10.25	Volna Pinsk - Belarus U19	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Uni X Labs Minsk - Volna Pinsk	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Volna Pinsk - Osipovichi	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	2:4 ✺
20.09.25	Volna Pinsk - BATE 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
21.06.25	Volna Pinsk - Baranovichi	0:2
12.10.24	Baranovichi - Volna Pinsk	3:2
16.06.24	Volna Pinsk - Baranovichi	2:0
16.09.23	Volna Pinsk - Baranovichi	1:0
20.05.22	Baranovichi - Volna Pinsk	1:1
04.09.21	Baranovichi - Volna Pinsk	3:3
18.06.21	Volna Pinsk - Baranovichi	2:0

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