The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volna Pinsk 69.4%
Draw 20.7%
Osipovichi 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
19.7%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71%
18.5%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volna Pinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Osipovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osipovichi than the current prediction. (+3%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 55. Lesnyak D. 91. Matyash D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 21. Susha A. 33. Urbanovich V. 8. Vlasov A.
33. Petrashko N. (G) 27. Alekseev I. 21. Elezarenko E. (C) 12. Grin A. 11. Kovardaev T. 23. Kukhotskovolets A. 8. Lapin D. 25. Lomako S. 14. Minets T. 15. Petrovsky O. 4. Zhordochkin M.
Substitutes
1. Asonov A. (G) 62. Baluk S. 6. Belous A. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 4. Kuradovets A. 77. Nikoporenok E. 97. Oreshkevich J. 22. Samuylik A. 14. Stroychuk A. 11. Tkachik D.
6. Azarov M. 10. Denisenko D. 7. Drapeza V. 17. Emeljanov A. 16. Gurinovich R. (G) 29. Korzhenevskiy I. 31. Markevich A. 3. Matlakh A. 18. Pyshnik D. 2. Ssorin D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Lapin D. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Grechikha M. ⚽, Oreshkevich J. (A),
87', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Samuylik A. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Volna Pinsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Osipovichi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Volna Pinsk is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Volna Pinsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volna Pinsk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Volna Pinsk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 3.7:1).