Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 26

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		Volna Pinsk

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.20	3.60
	1.57	4.25	4.00
	1.64	4.30	3.85
	1.66	3.90	3.99	Watch
	1.49	4.70	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.74)	4.27 ↑ (3.9)	3.93 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
56.1%

Draw
21%

Volna Pinsk
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

23.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

22.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Volna Pinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dovnar N. (G) 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 62. Gordeychuk M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. (C) 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.	12. Letsko S. (G) 15. Kibuk V. (C) 25. Kovsh K. 91. Matyash D. 97. Oreshkevich J. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 33. Sedro I. 21. Susha A. 8. Vlasov A.
Substitutes
3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 98. Karpuk A. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.	62. Baluk S. 10. Grechikha M. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 19. Kovalevich K. 4. Kuradovets A. 77. Nikoporenok E. 9. Nizhnik D. 22. Samuylik A. 6. Tarabesh I. 11. Tkachik D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Susha A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Galuza D. ⚽, Fedortsov D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Galuza D. ⚽, Pampukha P. (A),
79', 3 - 0, Gordeychuk M. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, Gordeychuk M. ⚽, Fedortsov D. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: ) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niva won 1.

Niva has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Volna Pinsk has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Niva for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Niva in today's match, at odds of 1.74.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Niva has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:11 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Niva against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 2.7:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Niva Dolbizno	27	17	4	6	67:31	36	55
11	Volna Pinsk	27	10	4	13	40:50	-10	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.09.26	Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	3:4 ✺
30.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Osipovichi	6:0 ✺
15.08.26	Soligorsk - Niva Dolbizno	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.09.26	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Slutsk - Volna Pinsk	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Volna Pinsk - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ostrovets - Volna Pinsk	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Slonim - Volna Pinsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
01.06.26	Volna Pinsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:0
28.09.25	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	2:4
26.05.25	Volna Pinsk - Niva Dolbizno	0:5
29.09.24	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	1:2
03.06.24	Volna Pinsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:1
16.08.23	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	5:2
09.04.23	Volna Pinsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:0

Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide