Match Info

NPFL - Round 5

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Barau		Rivers United

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.68	3.5
	2.15	2.69	3.2
	2.35	2.64	3.54	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.4
	2.16	2.71	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	2.64 ↓ (2.7)	3.39 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barau
39.9%

Draw
33.8%

Rivers United
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

34.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

35.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Rivers United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barau than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rivers United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barau - Rivers United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Muhammad Y. (G) 35. Ambrose J. 9. Aminu A. 26. Chukwudi Oganbor S. 13. Dapma S. 3. Duah B. 10. Kwame A. N. 8. Maidubuji U. 33. Nura I. (C) 2. Okagube O. K. 12. Umar M.	16. Henry A. (G) 4. Duke O. 36. Elias O. 33. Emekayi T. (C) 24. Falolu W. 20. Nnaji E. 30. Obi S. 12. Ogechukwu O. 29. Otaniyi T. 27. Sholumade D. 31. Zachariah T.
Substitutes
28. Abdullahi K. 36. Abdul N. 11. Anthony S. 25. Ekawu H. 39. Hussain A. 32. Martins O. 24. Nwabulu E. (G) 20. Tijjani S. 4. Umar Y.	13. Abdulrafiu T. 19. Annor I. 22. Ayemwenre R. 17. Bell S. 28. Jenewari M. B. 6. Manyo S. 23. Martins B. 34. Noble J. (G) 11. Okon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Duke O. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Maidubuji U. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', 2 - 1, Ambrose J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Sholumade D. ↓, Okon A. ↑,
55', Otaniyi T. ↓, Martins B. ↑,
55', Nnaji E. ↓, Annor I. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Abdullahi K. ⚽,
70', Obi S. ↓, Jenewari M. B. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Abdullahi K. ⚽, Umar M. (A),
90', Jenewari M. B. ↓, Abdulrafiu T. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Barau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rivers United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barau might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barau FC
Nigerian Premier League
30.11.25	Barau - Kwara United	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Remo Stars - Barau	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Barau - Enugu Rangers	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Katsina United - Barau	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Barau - Wikki Tourists	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWTT
- Rivers United
Nigerian Premier League
15.12.25	Rivers United - Wikki Tourists	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Plateau United - Rivers United	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Abia Warriors - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Rivers United - Kano Pillars	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
28.11.25	Rivers United - Berkane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWL

Barau - Rivers United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide