Match Info

NPFL - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Barau		Kwara United

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.15	5.7
	1.57	3.26	6.14
	1.64	3.16	6.18	Watch
	1.58	3.2	6.38
	1.55	3.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	3.19 ↑ (3.16)	6.03 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barau
56.8%

Draw
28.2%

Kwara United
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

29.1%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

29.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kwara United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barau than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Barau - Kwara United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Ambrose J. 9. Aminu A. 26. Chukwudi Oganbor S. 3. Duah B. 10. Kwame A. N. 8. Maidubuji U. 33. Nura I. (C) 2. Okagube O. K. 14. Okoko E. 12. Umar M. 21. Yusuf A.	33. Nurudeen B. (G) 29. Adeoye V. 14. Aimufua J. 11. Aule J. 16. Ezeh C. 25. Ibrahim Y. 23. Kabiru M. 34. Ogbonna A. 21. Okon E. 4. Ozor P. 26. Saheed O.
Substitutes
36. Abdul N. 11. Anthony S. 13. Dapma S. 25. Ekawu H. 39. Hussain A. 30. Ibrahim Y. 16. Kemin J. 24. Nwabulu E. (G) 4. Umar Y.	. Afeez M. 3. Akanni A. 1. Ayeleso S. (G) . Bankole A. 5. Gbadamosi J. 6. Jimoh W. 31. Mohammed A. M. 17. Mubarak S. 13. Ogunribide S. 24. Sulaimon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 🟨,
10', Maidubuji U. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Maidubuji U. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Ezeh C. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Umar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 2, Aule J. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 2, Chukwudi Oganbor S. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Barau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barau is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barau FC
Nigerian Premier League
23.11.25	Remo Stars - Barau	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Barau - Enugu Rangers	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Katsina United - Barau	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Barau - Wikki Tourists	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Abia Warriors - Barau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTTL
- Kwara United
Nigerian Premier League
23.11.25	Kwara United - Shooting Stars	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Nasarawa United - Kwara United	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Wikki Tourists - Kwara United	1:1 ✺
08.10.25	Kano Pillars - Kwara United	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Kwara United - Plateau United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TTTLW

Barau - Kwara United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide