Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Barbadás |
|
Céltiga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.95 |
3 |
1.9 |
|
 |
3.93 |
3.06 |
1.91 |
|
 |
4.03 |
3.15 |
1.92 |
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4 |
2.9 |
1.91 |
|
 |
3.99 |
3.08 |
1.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↓
(3.98) |
3.04 ↓
(3.05) |
1.91 ↓
(1.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barbadás
22.7% | Draw
29.8% | Céltiga
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barbadás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-4%)Barbadás - Céltiga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).Barbadás has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Céltiga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Céltiga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Céltiga is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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