Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Céltiga |
|
Gran Peña |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.98 |
3 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.97 |
3.11 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.05 |
3.08 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3.4 |
3.14 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.15) |
3.04 ↓
(3.18) |
3.07 ↓
(3.09) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Céltiga
40.1% | Draw
30.1% | Gran Peña
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Céltiga - Gran Peña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 37', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).In recent matches, Céltiga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Gran Peña is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Céltiga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Céltiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Gran Pena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
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| 12 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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