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Current Win Probability
Barbadás 13%
Draw 24.3%
Compostela 62.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
9.9%
20.6%
69.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
9.5%
19.7%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Compostela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Compostela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Compostela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barbadás - Compostela Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Barbadás has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Compostela's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Compostela is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Barbadás won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.