Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Barbadás		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.9	3.2	2.29
	2.86	3.24	2.35
	2.75	3.3	2.37	Watch
	2.99	3.3	2.32
	2.9	3.2	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (4.72)	3.22 ↓ (3.44)	2.35 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbadás
32.5%

Draw
28.4%

Gran Peña
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

26.5%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

26%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barbadás's performance.

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Peña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barbadás that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gran Peña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barbadás - Gran Peña Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Barbadás (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barbadás (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Barbadás has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gran Peña is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Peña could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gran Peña is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barbadás won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Barbadás won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.04.25	Villalonga - Barbadás	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Valladares - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Barbadás - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Arosa - Barbadás	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Barbadás - Alondras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTTWL
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Betanzos - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gran Peña - Polvorín	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	RC Villalbes - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.09.24	Gran Peña - Barbadás	0:0
02.12.23	Barbadás - Gran Peña	0:2

Barbadás - Gran Peña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide