Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	RC Villalbes		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.15	4.65
	1.73	3.34	4.89	Watch
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.7	3.24	4.9
	1.75	3.14	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 (1.74)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	4.74 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Villalbes
52.2%

Draw
28.6%

Gran Peña
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Villalbes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

RC Villalbes - Gran Peña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Villalbes is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gran Peña has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Villalbes is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Villalbes will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villalbes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villalbes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Racing Club Villalbes	5	2	3	0	7:5	2	9
10	Gran Pena	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Silva SD - RC Villalbes	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	RC Villalbes - Céltiga	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Juventud Cambados - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	RC Villalbes - Boiro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Barco - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWTT
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Gran Peña - Barbadás	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Alondras - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gran Peña - Lugo B	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Gran Peña - Viveiro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Silva SD - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	RC Villalbes - Gran Peña	0:0
03.11.24	Gran Peña - RC Villalbes	1:2
11.02.23	Gran Peña - RC Villalbes	2:2
16.10.22	RC Villalbes - Gran Peña	1:1

RC Villalbes - Gran Peña: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide