Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Barbadás		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.84
	3.81	3.57	1.83	Watch
	4.12	3.42	1.78
	3.8	3.4	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.24)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbadás
23.5%

Draw
26.5%

Sarriana
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.9%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.6%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sarriana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sarriana is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Barbadás won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	Arosa - Barbadás	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Barbadás - Alondras	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Atlético Arteixo - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Barbadás - Silva SD	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	UD Ourense - Barbadás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLTWL
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.03.25	Sarriana - Alondras	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Silva SD - Sarriana	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gran Peña - Sarriana	1:3 ✺
15.02.25	Sarriana - Somozas	5:0 ✺
02.02.25	Sarriana - Villalonga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	Sarriana - Barbadás	5:0
10.02.24	Sarriana - Barbadás	1:1

Barbadás - Sarriana

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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