Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Sarriana		Somozas

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.7
	1.63	3.93	4.07
	1.64	3.88	4.5	Watch
	1.58	3.64	5.22
	1.67	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)	3.69 ↓ (3.87)	4.64 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarriana
55.6%

Draw
24.7%

Somozas
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.6%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

22.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarriana's form might have worsened.

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somozas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarriana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Somozas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarriana - Somozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Millan A. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Millan A. ⚽,
58', 4 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
90', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sarriana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sarriana have a series of home games.

In this match Sarriana is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sarriana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Sarriana
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.02.25	Sarriana - Villalonga	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Sarriana - Arosa	4:1 ✺
11.01.25	Sarriana - Atlético Arteixo	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	UD Ourense - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Sarriana - Betanzos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTTW
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Somozas - Alondras	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Silva SD - Somozas	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Gran Peña - Somozas	0:4 ✺
11.01.25	Somozas - Barbadás	4:1 ✺
22.12.24	Boiro - Somozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
06.10.24	Somozas - Sarriana	2:3
17.12.23	Somozas - Sarriana	0:3

Sarriana - Somozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide