Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Barbadás		Somozas

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.88	2.15
	3.54	2.85	2.21
	3.52	2.86	2.21
	3.3	2.7	2.25
	3.51	2.8	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	2.82 ↑ (2.81)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbadás
26.3%

Draw
32.3%

Somozas
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

32.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

31.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Somozas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Barbadás - Somozas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barbadás (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 1.

Barbadás has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Somozas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Somozas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barbadás won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Barbadás won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Somozas	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Barbadás - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.14%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.02.26	Barbadás - Arosa	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Arteixo - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Barbadás - Noia	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	RC Villalbes - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barbadás - Viveiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.02.26	Lugo B - Somozas	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Somozas - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Silva SD - Somozas	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Somozas - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Juventud Cambados - Somozas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.10.25	Somozas - Barbadás	3:0
11.05.25	Barbadás - Somozas	1:0
11.01.25	Somozas - Barbadás	4:1
24.03.24	Somozas - Barbadás	0:0
05.11.23	Barbadás - Somozas	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Somozas - Barbadás	0:0

Barbadás - Somozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide