Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Somozas |
|
Céltiga |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.68 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.85 |
3.07 |
|
 |
2.43 |
2.88 |
3.06 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.81 |
3.09 |
|
 |
2.36 |
2.83 |
3.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.22) |
2.8 ↓
(2.92) |
3.03 ↓
(3.24) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Somozas
37.7% | Draw
32.4% | Céltiga
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Céltiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somozas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Céltiga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)Somozas - Céltiga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 7).Somozas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Céltiga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).Including home match between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 12 | Celtiga | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Somozas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
