Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Lugo B |
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Somozas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.38 |
2.68 |
3.15 |
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2.4 |
2.85 |
3.13 |
Watch |
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2.38 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
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2.36 |
2.81 |
3.11 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.45) |
2.76 ↓ (3) |
3.12 ↑ (2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lugo B 38.1% | Draw 32.9% | Somozas 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Lugo B - Somozas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).Lugo B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Somozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Somozas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lugo B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Somozas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;