Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - ROUND 8

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Barcelona de Ilhéus		Jacobinense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4
	2	3.05	3.55
	1.82	3.13	4.6
	1.88	2.9	4.33
	1.84	3.18	4.4
	1.92	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.01)	3.08 ↑ (3)	4.11 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona de Ilhéus
48.3%

Draw
29.6%

Jacobinense
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30.4%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

24.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Jacobinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona de Ilhéus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacobinense than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacobinense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacobinense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Jacobinense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Barcelona will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.23	Jacuipense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	3:1 ✺
01.02.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
26.01.23	Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Itabuna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL
- Jacobinense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.23	Jacobinense - Juazeirense	0:2 ✺
02.02.23	Vitória Salvador - Jacobinense	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Jacobinense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Jacobinense - Bahia	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Jacuipense - Jacobinense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLLWL

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacobinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide