Match Info

Baiano - Round 7

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Cajueiro (Feira de Santana)


	Bahia de Feira		Barcelona de Ilhéus

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.55
	2.04	3.05	3.79
	2.03	3.01	3.74	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2	2.98	3.77
	2.05	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.87)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	3.69 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia de Feira
45%

Draw
30.2%

Barcelona de Ilhéus
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

29%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

28.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia de Feira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-3%)

Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Barcelona (2.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 17. Alex Cazumba (C) 11. Arthur Martins 8. Brendon 2. da Silva Freire M. V. 4. Dudu 7. Luciano Grafite 3. Matheus Recife 5. Pedrao 10. Ronan 6. Wellington Cezar	1. Pedro Antonio (G) 4. Bremer 87. Carlos Richard 23. Gabriel Hilario 73. Gianlucas 5. Guimaraes 2. Jeferson Neves 11. Kaique 99. Neto 88. Rhuan 3. Vital (C)
Substitutes
15. Elivelton 20. Fabricio Neguinho 16. Guilherme Bastos 14. Guilherme Silva 23. Janilson (G) 18. Johnata 21. Marcos Vinicius 1. Milton Raphael (G) 19. Vitinho 13. Wander	33. Edmilson Junior 18. Emerson 7. Guga Freira 10. Hadrian 9. Joao Gabriel 77. Marcelinho 21. Matheus Bidick 17. Miqueias 8. Nascimento 22. Neto Rocha (G) 12. Simoes Viana W. (G) 19. Wesley

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Gabriel Hilario 🟥,
20', Neto 🟥,
25', da Silva Freire M. V. ↓, Fabricio Neguinho ↑,
26', 🟨,
27', Pedrao 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Alex Cazumba ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Arthur Martins ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Miqueias ⚽,
50', 3 - 1, Elivelton ⚽,
53', 4 - 1, Arthur Martins ⚽,
59', 5 - 1, Ronan (Penalty Awarded),
64', Gianlucas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
64', Rhuan ↓, Edmilson Junior ↑,
66', Luciano Grafite ↓, Vitinho ↑,
76', Miqueias ↓, Emerson ↑,
76', Jeferson Neves ↓, Hadrian ↑,
79', Arthur Martins 🟨,
82', 6 - 1, Arthur Martins ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bahia de Feira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bahia de Feira won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bahia de Feira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.02.26	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Jequié	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Bahia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTTL
- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Bahia - Barcelona de Ilhéus	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
21.02.24	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia de Feira	1:0
26.01.23	Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0
20.02.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia de Feira	1:1

Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide