Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Barcia		Avilés Stadium

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.6	1.58
	5	3.75	1.57
	4.84	3.55	1.6
	4.84	3.55	1.6
	5.1	3.74	1.58
	5	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.29)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcia
18.3%

Draw
24.7%

Avilés Stadium
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.2%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

23.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Avilés Stadium has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcia than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avilés Stadium than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avilés Stadium, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Barcia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avilés Stadium is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avilés Stadium could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avilés Stadium is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
03.03.24	Llanera - Barcia	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Lealtad - Barcia	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Barcia - Gijón Industrial	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Lenense - Barcia	3:1 ✺
27.01.24	Barcia - Urraca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT
- Avilés Stadium CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
03.03.24	Avilés Stadium - LEntregu	2:3 ✺
25.02.24	Caudal Deportivo - Avilés Stadium	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Avilés Stadium - Llanes	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Luarca - Avilés Stadium	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ceares - Avilés Stadium	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
22.10.23	Avilés Stadium - Barcia	0:2

Barcia - Avilés Stadium: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide