Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lenense		Barcia

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.5
	1.42	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.04	6.5
	1.4	4.2	6.94
	1.42	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.17 ↓ (4.33)	6.59 ↑ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lenense
64.5%

Draw
21.8%

Barcia
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

19.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Barcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lenense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lenense is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.01.24	LEntregu - Lenense	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Caudal Deportivo - Lenense	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lenense - Llanes	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Luarca - Lenense	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Lenense - Avilés Stadium	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWT
- Barcia CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
27.01.24	Barcia - Urraca	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Barcia - Tuilla	0:3 ✺
14.01.24	Sporting de Gijón B - Barcia	4:0 ✺
07.01.24	Barcia - Condal	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Colunga - Barcia	1:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL

Lenense - Barcia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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