Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Barco		Atlético Arnoia

	1	X	2
	1.07	6.6	23
	1.05	8.09	20.81
	1.07	9.1	25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.4)	7.93 ↑ (3.68)	22.94 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barco
84.7%

Draw
11.4%

Atlético Arnoia
3.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.6%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.5%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barco's performance.

Atlético Arnoia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Arnoia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barco than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Arnoia than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Arnoia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Barco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barco is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Arzúa - Barco	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Barco - Somozas	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Alondras - Barco	2:1 ✺
27.03.22	Barco - Juvenil de Ponteareas	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Sofán - Barco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Atlético Arnoia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Atlético Arnoia - Juvenil de Ponteareas	1:1 ✺
14.04.22	Sofán - Atlético Arnoia	0:3 ✺
09.04.22	Atlético Arnoia - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:3 ✺
03.04.22	Ourense CF - Atlético Arnoia	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Atlético Arnoia - Choco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.12.21	Atlético Arnoia - Barco	1:1

Barco - Atlético Arnoia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide