Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Arzúa		Barco

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.33	3	2.6
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.32	3.19	2.78
	2.1	3.3	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.75)	3.14 ↑ (2.89)	2.87 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzúa
40.3%

Draw
28.5%

Barco
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

30.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzúa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arzúa's performance.

Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arzúa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Arzúa - Barco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Arzúa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	RC Villalbes - Arzúa	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Arzúa - Somozas	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Arzúa - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Choco - Arzúa	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Arzúa - Atlético Arteixo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWTW
- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Barco - Estradense	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Arosa - Barco	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Deportivo A Coruña B - Barco	4:1 ✺
17.12.22	Barco - Paiosaco	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Alondras - Barco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.09.22	Barco - Arzúa	0:1
17.04.22	Arzúa - Barco	1:0
12.12.21	Barco - Arzúa	1:3
09.05.21	Barco - Arzúa	1:1
24.11.19	Arzúa - Barco	1:2

Arzúa - Barco

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Arzúa - Barco Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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