Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday
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Barco |
|
Somozas |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.75 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.79 |
2.87 |
|
 |
2.53 |
3.08 |
2.77 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.47 |
2.9 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.43) |
2.85 ↑
(2.83) |
2.87 ↓
(2.9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barco
36.9% | Draw
31.7% | Somozas
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-1%)Barco - Somozas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barco won 2.Barco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Somozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Barco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Somozas has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Barco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Barco | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
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| 13 | Somozas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 | | | 11.01.26 | Somozas - Barco | 1:0 | | 26.03.23 | Somozas - Barco | 2:1 | | 04.12.22 | Barco - Somozas | 0:0 | | 01.05.22 | Somozas - Barco | 2:3 | | 14.04.22 | Barco - Somozas | 3:1 | | 08.12.21 | Somozas - Barco | 0:2 | | 09.02.20 | Somozas - Barco | 1:4 |
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