The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barco 58%
Draw 26.2%
Noia 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
25.9%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
24.6%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Barco - Noia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Martin O. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Barco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Noia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Barco is the clear favorite.
We predict that Barco will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Barco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
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