Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Barco		Lugo B

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98
	2.4	2.84	3.18
	2.38	3.03	3.01	Watch
	2.4	2.7	3
	2.34	2.81	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barco
38.4%

Draw
31.9%

Lugo B
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barco than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barco - Lugo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 🟥,
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8).

Barco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugo B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Barco has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barco	5	3	1	1	6:4	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Barco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Gran Peña - Barco	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Céltiga - Barco	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Barco - Juventud Cambados	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Boiro - Barco	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Viveiro - Barco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTWWW
- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.03.26	Lugo B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lugo B - Somozas	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeros - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lugo B - Arosa	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Arteixo - Lugo B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	Lugo B - Barco	1:1

Barco - Lugo B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide