Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Barletta		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.22	2.82	Watch
	2.35	3.13	2.84
	2.34	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.29)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barletta
39%

Draw
28.7%

Paganese
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.9%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Paganese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Barletta - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Laringe F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Pierce M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barletta won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barletta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barletta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Afragolese - Barletta	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Barletta - Ferrandina	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Barletta - Pompei	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Manfredonia - Barletta	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Barletta - Francavilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWT
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Paganese - Sarnese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pompei - Paganese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Savoia - Paganese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
05.10.25	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Francavilla - Paganese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
07.01.24	Barletta - Paganese	0:1
10.09.23	Paganese - Barletta	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.15	Barletta - Paganese	2:1
01.11.14	Paganese - Barletta	2:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
23.08.14	Barletta - Paganese	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
02.03.14	Barletta - Paganese	3:2
27.10.13	Paganese - Barletta	2:0

Upcoming Matches