Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Marcello Torre (Pagani)


	Paganese		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.81	3.72
	2.80	2.44	3.13	Watch
	2.07	2.9	3.7
	2.06	3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2)	2.79 ↓ (3.1)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paganese
41%

Draw
32.9%

Virtus Francavilla
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paganese - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 1.

Recent performances by Paganese have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Virtus Francavilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paganese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Paganese won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Francavilla - Paganese	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Paganese - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Fidelis Andria - Paganese	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Paganese - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Nardo - Paganese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Real Normanna	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Ferrandina - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Martina Calcio	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Virtus Francavilla - Barletta	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Virtus Francavilla - Ugento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.22	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	3:3
30.10.21	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	2:1
17.02.21	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	0:0
21.10.20	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	0:0
26.01.20	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	2:0
15.09.19	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	2:2
20.04.19	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	2:1

Paganese - Virtus Francavilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide