The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barnechea 46.4%
Draw 26.2%
Unión San Felipe 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.4%
23.1%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
18.5%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnechea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barnechea's form might have worsened.
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión San Felipe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnechea than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-3%)
Barnechea - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 6. Alucema G. 4. Bravo D. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 19. Llanten M. 8. Ottesen E. 10. Sagredo B. (C) 14. Salgado H. 20. Tapia Paez G. 18. Ubal B. 5. Valdez B.
1. Salazar A. (G) 20. Demateis V. 4. Dubo C. 28. Guaiquil N. 18. Herrera A. 9. Huanca C. 22. Jara Gonzalez G. A. (C) 19. Salazar D. 7. Sandoval M. 16. Silva Alamos M. I. 30. Vasquez Quilodran I.
Substitutes
3. Ortiz A. 7. Quiroga L. 22. Romo J. 11. Salaberry S. 12. Salas S. (G) 25. Salomon C. 15. Toledo A.
24. Alvarez V. 10. Gomez F. 6. Herrera H. 12. Ibacache M. (G) 5. Leon A. 31. Quinones A. 26. Sanchez V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Demateis V. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Tapia Paez G. ⚽,
35', Valdez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Salgado H. 🟨,
56', Vasquez Quilodran I. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
57', Sandoval M. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
58', Ottesen E. ↓, Salomon C. ↑,
76', Demateis V. ↓, Quinones A. ↑,
78', Salgado H. ↓, Salaberry S. ↑,
88', Sagredo B. ↓, Quiroga L. ↑,
88', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
90+3', Dubo C. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 1.
Recent matches Barnechea is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Unión San Felipe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Unión San Felipe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Barnechea will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Barnechea won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Barnechea won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.