The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Santa Cruz 54.3%
Draw 25.9%
Unión San Felipe 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.7%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
28.3%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Santa Cruz's performance.
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión San Felipe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión San Felipe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Santa Cruz will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 2. Quiroz I. 31. Romero N. 5. Camisassa B. 20. Cavero H. 4. Alucema G. 14. Plaza D. 8. Acevedo D. 15. Delgado J. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
12. Canete L. (G) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 19. Serrano K. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 25. Sanchez V. 17. Diaz Orostegui R. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. (C) 18. Munoz P. 9. Aravena B. 21. Brun N.
Substitutes
3. Guerrero N. 18. Herrera H. 10. Mederos S. 11. Pinto M. 28. Quezada M. 22. Tati D. 9. Zeineddin N.
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 16. Fuentes D. 28. Jara I. 8. Palmieri N. 2. Perales V. 14. Riveros B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Garcia L. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Guajardo Barrera B. ⚽,
34', Guajardo Barrera B. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Arias D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brun N. ↓, Palmieri N. ↑,
46', Diaz Orostegui R. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
46', Delgado J. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
59', Munoz P. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
65', Acevedo D. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
69', Pinto M. 🟨,
72', Camisassa B. 🟨,
81', Aravena B. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
84', Sanchez V. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Riveros B. ⚽,
90+1', Alucema G. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 3, Fontana A. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 0.
Deportes Santa Cruz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión San Felipe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Santa Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
Watch
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Dobboletta J. (C) 
Quiroz I. 
Brun N. 
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